What is the prediction that Mexico will beat the USMNT with or without Chucky Lozano?

Both teams share second place in the standings, but far behind Canada. They need to win to consolidate their qualification and definitely get a direct ticket to Qatar 2022, a World Cup that promises many surprises and stars who, as of today, have not secured their ticket. One of them is Cristiano Ronaldo, who could be left out. 

More news about mexican national soccer team:

Mexico is the winningest team in CONCACAF history

Let's remember that the Tri national team is going through a very tense situation regarding the continuity of its coach, Gerardo Martino. The Mexican media claim that if they do not win against the USMNT, they could return to instability after the victory against Panama. 

Both teams have 21 points in the general table, with 6 wins, 3 ties, and 2 losses, an unusual parity between the two teams as it is a 100% similarity. Only a fortuitous event can shake this trend and without a doubt, this event is the injury of Hirving Lozano.

Hirving "Chucky" Lozano's influence on the Mexican national team

To know Hirving's influence in the next match and against the classic rival, it is necessary to know the qualities he has as a player.

In this graph we can see one of the main causes of the Mexican idol's injury since he is a player who is not used to the shock or physical demands, his ability is based on his sustained rhythm in the match, his dribbling, passing, and shots on goal. 

That said, Mexico loses a lot of attacking strength and strength to go in search of the match with the USMNT, so their chances decrease by approximately 24% if Chucky is not on the field. 

What are Mexico's chances with Chucky Lozano's injury?

What system is applied to predict this data?

In El Futbolero Mexico, we decided to apply our measurement system based on historical data from both teams with the help of "The Professor", knowledge of statistical patterns and Poisson distributions applicable through Python programming. 

Thanks to this we can predict the number of goals that each team can score based on historical results.  

More news about Hirving Lozano:

Alarm bells are ringing! Chucky Lozano is stretchered off after a violent collision. How long will he be out of action?